Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.080940 0.093624 0.107637 0.124264 0.143458 0.164926 0.190765
2025-12-28 0.063390 0.080988 0.102412 0.130416 0.166073 0.209992 0.268263
2026-01-04 0.053390 0.072892 0.098223 0.133542 0.181556 0.244628 0.333930
2026-01-11 0.046456 0.066996 0.095142 0.136533 0.195923 0.278194 0.401103
2026-01-18 0.040651 0.061481 0.091378 0.137431 0.206681 0.307139 0.464381
2026-01-25 0.035242 0.055622 0.086117 0.135081 0.211870 0.327964 0.517438
2026-02-01 0.030272 0.049678 0.079842 0.130148 0.212133 0.340855 0.559126
2026-02-08 0.027380 0.046586 0.077508 0.130927 0.221143 0.367832 0.625544
2026-02-15 0.024809 0.043664 0.075040 0.131059 0.228874 0.393215 0.691681
2026-02-22 0.022816 0.041458 0.073460 0.132400 0.238602 0.422635 0.767489
2026-03-01 0.020440 0.038284 0.069833 0.129679 0.240783 0.439037 0.821750
2026-03-08 0.018408 0.035489 0.066552 0.127159 0.242925 0.455359 0.877238
2026-03-15 0.017032 0.033816 0.065225 0.128294 0.252304 0.486436 0.965029
2026-03-22 0.016349 0.033408 0.066243 0.134049 0.271213 0.537499 1.097426
2026-03-29 0.015439 0.032434 0.066036 0.137321 0.285506 0.580980 1.219366
2026-04-05 0.014593 0.031485 0.065761 0.140390 0.299655 0.625513 1.348208
2026-04-12 0.013616 0.030144 0.064533 0.141314 0.309383 0.661927 1.463833
2026-04-19 0.012435 0.028226 0.061888 0.138898 0.311664 0.682913 1.548320
2026-04-26 0.011156 0.025944 0.058220 0.133825 0.307538 0.689668 1.601884
2026-05-03 0.010472 0.024932 0.057225 0.134627 0.316641 0.726246 1.726922
2026-05-10 0.009798 0.023870 0.056003 0.134763 0.324199 0.760053 1.849093
2026-05-17 0.009269 0.023090 0.055345 0.136141 0.334797 0.801826 1.994625
2026-05-24 0.008514 0.021678 0.053055 0.133344 0.335035 0.819290 2.082850